On a typical Saturday, I never get more than a couple of miles away from my house. It’s hard to do stuff with a one-year-old, and there’s a lot to do just staying at home - especially with my in-laws living in the neighborhood and having a little lake and pool in their backyard. I wish that meant that my Saturdays are relaxing, but I really make them count. I took Trea baby for a four-mile run yesterday in the jogging stroller. And then once that is over, it’s just a full day of doing stuff with kids and chasing them around and cooking dinner and playing yard games and stuff. It’s fun, and really nice that we don’t have to go out and spend money to have a fun day.
I wear one of those WHOOP fitness bands, and that measures your physical activity. I was top 50 in Indiana yesterday in “strain”, which is what they call your physical exertion. So by the end of the day I’m worn out and ready to just lie down and stare at the ceiling. Alcohol also comes into the picture at this point. So I sleep as much as possible after that. And today, all of the kids slept until 8:30am, a new record. Incredible stuff. But now it’s 9 and I only have like 20 minutes to get all this stuff done before church. And I just wasted a couple of minutes telling you this, which I didn’t need to do.
But people tell me all the time they appreciate the writing I do about my life. I get that with Adam Levitan, I’ve always liked listening to his podcasts when he just talks about normal stuff. People appreciate authenticity.
Pitcher Review
Spencer Schwellenbach put it together with a very nice qual-banger against the Phillies. Another strong 51.9% Strike% and that brings his season mark to 52.6%, the fourth-best in the league!
Hunter Brown got blown up. 12 hits, seven earned runs. He still threw a good number of strikes, he just didn’t get away with anything. I’m still holding him, the velocity was still up and he’s looked so good over the last two months that he has earned himself some leash.
Yariel Rodriguez made me look good as my streamer of the day pick. 6 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 6 K, 2 BB. That was against the Mariners. He did not look great in the underlying stuff (9.8% SwStr%, 40.2% Strike%), so I wouldn’t want to start him against any decent lineups for now.
Tyler Anderson put up one of those random 20+ whiff starts which he’ll do from time to time. He has 22 and a 22.4% SwStr%. Very strange pitcher.
Gerrit Cole got Rafael Devers’d again, but the velo keeps improving - so we should get our normal Cole back soon.
Hitter Review
Only time for one hitter review, and that is, of course, Ben Rice. He homered THRICE yesterday (four barrels!), and now has done this in his big league career:
60 PA, .294/.383/.588, .972 OPS, 4 HR, 18.6% Brl%, 15% K%, 13% BB%, 81% Cont%, .463 xwOBA
An incredible beginning to his career. You should always be wildly suspicious of guys that come on the scene like this, but the early marks are really good. You don’t often see an 81% Contact% and a 30% GB% from a rookie while they’re still barreling the ball. That’s what Rice has done. He also has catcher eligibility and, most importantly, is leading off for the Yankees now, so he’s pretty close to a must-add guy just to see what we have here.
Sorry about the short notes; Sundays are tough. We’ll be better tomorrow!
Algo SP Ranks - Yesterday
1. Tyler Anderson
2. Andrew Heaney
3. Brandon Pfaadt
4. Freddy Peralta
5. MacKenzie Gore
6. David Peterson
7. Spencer Schwellenbach
8. Hunter Greene
9. Joe Ryan
10. Logan Allen
11. Garrett Crochet
12. Gerrit Cole
13. Emerson Hanco*ck
14. Seth Lugo
15. Yonny Chirinos
16. Ranger Suarez
17. Matt Waldron
18. Yariel Rodriguez
19. Hunter Brown
20. Luis Medina
21. Josh Winckowski
22. Taj Bradley
23. Austin Gomber
24. Kyle Harrison
25. Lance Lynn
26. James Paxton
Fantasy Points Leaders - Yesterday
1. Tyler Anderson (vs. CHC): 40.2 Points
2. Yariel Rodriguez (vs. SEA): 27.7 Points
3. Hunter Greene (vs. DET): 26.75 Points
4. Spencer Schwellenbach (vs. PHI): 23.3 Points
5. Joe Ryan (vs. HOU): 23.16 Points
6. Andrew Heaney (vs. TB): 22.99 Points
7. Austin Gomber (vs. KC): 20.15 Points
8. Logan Allen - 671106 (vs. SF): 19.54 Points
9. Huascar Brazoban (vs. CWS): 17.9 Points
10. Taj Bradley (vs. TEX): 17.3 Points
Whiffs Leaders - Yesterday
1. Tyler Anderson (LAA): 22 Whiffs (98 Pitches)
2. Freddy Peralta (MIL): 21 Whiffs (104 Pitches)
3. MacKenzie Gore (WSH): 19 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
4. Andrew Heaney (TEX): 16 Whiffs (92 Pitches)
5. Seth Lugo (KC): 15 Whiffs (101 Pitches)
6. Hunter Greene (CIN): 15 Whiffs (104 Pitches)
7. Joe Ryan (MIN): 15 Whiffs (110 Pitches)
8. Gerrit Cole (NYY): 14 Whiffs (90 Pitches)
9. David Peterson (NYM): 14 Whiffs (87 Pitches)
10. Ranger Suarez (PHI): 13 Whiffs (91 Pitches)
Strike% Leaders - Yesterday
1. Garrett Crochet (CWS): 57.0 Strike%, 30.1 Ball%
2. Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 56.5 Strike%, 22.6 Ball%
3. Logan Allen (CLE): 55.9 Strike%, 35.5 Ball%
4. Andrew Heaney (TEX): 55.4 Strike%, 32.6 Ball%
5. David Peterson (NYM): 55.2 Strike%, 29.9 Ball%
6. Joe Ryan (MIN): 54.5 Strike%, 32.7 Ball%
7. Emerson Hanco*ck (SEA): 52.7 Strike%, 32.3 Ball%
8. Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL): 51.9 Strike%, 25.9 Ball%
9. Luis Medina (OAK): 51.0 Strike%, 32.7 Ball%
10. Yonny Chirinos (MIA): 50.6 Strike%, 31.8 Ball%
11. Tyler Anderson (LAA): 50.0 Strike%, 32.7 Ball%
12. Freddy Peralta (MIL): 49.0 Strike%, 38.5 Ball%
13. Gerrit Cole (NYY): 48.9 Strike%, 37.8 Ball%
14. Michael Soroka (CWS): 47.5 Strike%, 39.3 Ball%
15. Matt Waldron (SD): 47.2 Strike%, 36.8 Ball%
Pitches/Out (POUT) Leaders - Yesterday
1. Tyler Anderson: 98 Pitches, 24 Outs, 4.08 POUT
2. Taj Bradley: 79 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.39 POUT
3. Yariel Rodriguez: 82 Pitches, 18 Outs, 4.56 POUT
4. Austin Gomber: 99 Pitches, 21 Outs, 4.71 POUT
5. Spencer Schwellenbach: 81 Pitches, 17 Outs, 4.76 POUT
6. Brandon Pfaadt: 62 Pitches, 13 Outs, 4.77 POUT
7. Hunter Greene: 104 Pitches, 20 Outs, 5.2 POUT
8. James Paxton: 83 Pitches, 15 Outs, 5.53 POUT
9. Cole Irvin: 67 Pitches, 12 Outs, 5.58 POUT
10. Seth Lugo: 101 Pitches, 18 Outs, 5.61 POUT
Velo Changes - Yesterday
Joe Ryan's FS velo (14 pitches) UP 3.4mph to 89.0
Josh Winckowski's FC velo (18 pitches) UP 2.0mph to 91.1
Chase Anderson's FC velo (15 pitches) UP 1.9mph to 90.9
Joe Ryan's FF velo (53 pitches) UP 1.7mph to 94.6
Andrew Heaney's SL velo (28 pitches) UP 1.6mph to 83.6
Austin Gomber's CU velo (24 pitches) UP 1.5mph to 78.7
Michael Soroka's SL velo (29 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 80.6
James Paxton's FF velo (34 pitches) DOWN -1.6mph to 92.8
Gerrit Cole's FC velo (17 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 90.7
Tyler Anderson's FC velo (26 pitches) DOWN -1.7mph to 82.8
Ranger Suarez's CH velo (13 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 79.6
Yonny Chirinos's SL velo (31 pitches) DOWN -2.2mph to 85.6
Pitch Mix Changes - Yesterday
Chase Anderson's CU usage (17.3%) up 12.9 points
Cole Irvin's FF usage (46.3%) up 15.4 points
Garrett Crochet's FC usage (33.3%) up 10.3 points
Gerrit Cole's FC usage (18.9%) up 10.8 points
Hunter Brown's FC usage (21.0%) up 13.0 points
Hunter Brown's SI usage (17.1%) up 10.5 points
Hunter Brown's CH usage (11.4%) up 10.3 points
Jack O'Loughlin's CH usage (22.6%) up 12.9 points
James Paxton's SI usage (18.1%) up 16.7 points
Joe Ryan's SI usage (15.5%) up 13.8 points
Josh Winckowski's CH usage (19.7%) up 11.4 points
Kyle Harrison's SV usage (38.9%) up 18.3 points
Luis Medina's FF usage (53.1%) up 11.6 points
Matt Waldron's ST usage (34.9%) up 19.4 points
Michael Soroka's SL usage (47.5%) up 14.5 points
Spencer Schwellenbach's FS usage (19.8%) up 11.8 points
Taj Bradley's FS usage (26.6%) up 15.7 points
Yariel Rodriguez's FF usage (59.8%) up 16.6 points
Yonny Chirinos's FF usage (15.3%) up 10.9 points
Pitch Mix Changes - Last 3 Starts
Luis Severino Sinker: +26.0%
Jose Soriano Sinker: +20.7%
Lance Lynn 4-Seam Fastball: +19.6%
Tanner Bibee Curveball: +18.9%
Carlos Rodon 4-Seam Fastball: -18.2%
Christian Scott Slider: -16.5%
Tyler Glasnow 4-Seam Fastball: -16.5%
Jose Soriano Curveball: -15.9%
Kyle Hendricks Curveball: +15.6%
Yariel Rodriguez Slider: -15.4%
Luis Severino 4-Seam Fastball: -15.4%
Emerson Hanco*ck Sinker: +15.3%
Bryce Miller 4-Seam Fastball: -15.2%
James Paxton 4-Seam Fastball: -15.1%
Graham Ashcraft Cutter: +14.5%
Hunter Brown Sinker: +14.4%
Mitch Keller Curveball: +14.3%
Graham Ashcraft Sinker: -14.0%
Emerson Hanco*ck 4-Seam Fastball: -13.9%
Spencer Schwellenbach Split-Finger: +13.5%
Sean Manaea Slider: +13.4%
Tyler Glasnow Sinker: +13.2%
Luis Gil 4-Seam Fastball: -13.0%
Cal Quantrill Cutter: +12.4%
Mitch Spence Sinker: +12.3%
Kyle Hendricks 4-Seam Fastball: -12.3%
Griffin Canning 4-Seam Fastball: +12.0%
CSW% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Kutter Crawford - 69 TBF, 38.1% CSW%
Bailey Ober - 103 TBF, 36.2% CSW%
Tarik Skubal - 72 TBF, 35.8% CSW%
Spencer Schwellenbach - 94 TBF, 34.0% CSW%
Garrett Crochet - 95 TBF, 33.6% CSW%
Andrew Heaney - 96 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
Tyler Glasnow - 89 TBF, 33.3% CSW%
Joe Ryan - 99 TBF, 33.2% CSW%
Mitch Keller - 79 TBF, 31.8% CSW%
Brandon Pfaadt - 95 TBF, 31.6% CSW%
K% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Pablo Lopez - 93 TBF, 34.4% K%
Bailey Ober - 103 TBF, 34.0% K%
Dylan Cease - 86 TBF, 33.7% K%
Kutter Crawford - 69 TBF, 33.3% K%
Seth Lugo - 96 TBF, 32.3% K%
Cole Ragans - 100 TBF, 32.0% K%
Garrett Crochet - 95 TBF, 31.6% K%
Paul Skenes - 102 TBF, 31.4% K%
Andrew Heaney - 96 TBF, 31.2% K%
Tanner Bibee - 90 TBF, 31.1% K%
K-BB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Bailey Ober - 103 TBF, 29.1% K-BB%
Pablo Lopez - 93 TBF, 29.0% K-BB%
Kutter Crawford - 69 TBF, 29.0% K-BB%
Aaron Nola - 98 TBF, 28.6% K-BB%
Garrett Crochet - 95 TBF, 27.4% K-BB%
Tanner Bibee - 90 TBF, 26.7% K-BB%
Joe Ryan - 99 TBF, 26.3% K-BB%
Nestor Cortes - 92 TBF, 26.1% K-BB%
Paul Skenes - 102 TBF, 25.5% K-BB%
Reese Olson - 92 TBF, 25.0% K-BB%
GB% Leaders - Last 3 Weeks
Andre Pallante - 71 TBF, 64.6% GB%
Logan Webb - 108 TBF, 61.0% GB%
Framber Valdez - 104 TBF, 59.2% GB%
Ranger Suarez - 98 TBF, 59.0% GB%
Cristopher Sanchez - 98 TBF, 58.9% GB%
Tyler Glasnow - 89 TBF, 57.1% GB%
Trevor Rogers - 68 TBF, 55.6% GB%
Tanner Houck - 92 TBF, 55.4% GB%
Charlie Morton - 72 TBF, 54.3% GB%
Ben Lively - 91 TBF, 54.0% GB%
Magic Formula Qualifiers - Pitchers - Last 3 Weeks
Aaron Nola - 98 TBF, 29.6 K%, 1.0 BB%, 50.7% GB%
Garrett Crochet - 95 TBF, 31.6 K%, 4.2 BB%, 50.8% GB%
Grant Holmes - 46 TBF, 28.3 K%, 4.3 BB%, 51.6% GB%
Huascar Brazoban - 48 TBF, 39.6 K%, 6.2 BB%, 60.0% GB%
Paul Skenes - 102 TBF, 31.4 K%, 5.9 BB%, 46.0% GB%
Reese Olson - 92 TBF, 30.4 K%, 5.4 BB%, 49.2% GB%
Sean Hjelle - 56 TBF, 30.4 K%, 0.0 BB%, 59.0% GB%
Spencer Schwellenbach - 94 TBF, 27.7 K%, 4.3 BB%, 50.8% GB%
Trevor Richards - 47 TBF, 27.7 K%, 2.1 BB%, 45.5% GB%
Tyler Glasnow - 89 TBF, 30.3 K%, 5.6 BB%, 57.1% GB%
SIERA vs. ERA Comp, Last 30 Days
Unluckiest
Carlos Rodon: 8.31 ERA, 3.83 SIERA
Lance Lynn: 7.14 ERA, 3.53 SIERA
Dylan Cease: 6.48 ERA, 3.08 SIERA
Cole Irvin: 7.8 ERA, 4.5 SIERA
Luis Gil: 8.85 ERA, 5.62 SIERA
Slade Cecconi: 6.97 ERA, 3.76 SIERA
Adam Mazur: 9.29 ERA, 6.1 SIERA
Jon Gray: 8.1 ERA, 5.01 SIERA
Yusei Kikuchi: 6.23 ERA, 3.47 SIERA
Kenta Maeda: 7.54 ERA, 4.82 SIERA
Luckiest
Andrew Abbott: 3.0 ERA, 5.69 SIERA
Jose Quintana: 2.0 ERA, 4.42 SIERA
Chris Bassitt: 2.19 ERA, 4.55 SIERA
Jake Irvin: 1.7 ERA, 3.89 SIERA
Ronel Blanco: 2.01 ERA, 4.16 SIERA
Tyler Anderson: 3.75 ERA, 5.82 SIERA
Albert Suarez: 3.46 ERA, 5.43 SIERA
Tobias Myers: 2.17 ERA, 4.11 SIERA
Michael Lorenzen: 3.62 ERA, 5.56 SIERA
Hogan Harris: 3.26 ERA, 5.1 SIERA
Hot Pitcher Tracker - Last 3 Weeks vs. Career
Justin Steele - +3.2% CSW%, -2.2 BB%
Joe Ryan - +4.1% CSW%, -3.7 BB%
Andrew Heaney - +3.7% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Garrett Crochet - +2.0% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Bailey Ober - +7.4% CSW%, -1.5 BB%
Bryse Wilson - +2.3% CSW%, -1.8 BB%
Jameson Taillon - +4.4% CSW%, -3.9 BB%
Sean Hjelle - +6.7% CSW%, -5.6 BB%
Luis L. Ortiz - +4.5% CSW%, -8.3 BB%
Huascar Brazoban - +4.4% CSW%, -6.0 BB%
Kutter Crawford - +8.7% CSW%, -3.2 BB%
Multiple Barrels
Ben Rice (NYY) 5 PA, 11 Swings, 4 Barrels, 3 HR
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 5 PA, 9 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Brenton Doyle (COL) 4 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Ha-Seong Kim (SD) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) 4 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Nolan Gorman (STL) 5 PA, 7 Swings, 2 Barrels, 0 HR
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 5 PA, 15 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
Tyler Nevin (OAK) 5 PA, 8 Swings, 2 Barrels, 1 HR
New Max Launch Velos
Ozzie Albies, Yesterday: 113.7 Previous High: 112.4
Tyler Nevin, Yesterday: 107.9 Previous High: 107.8
William Contreras, Yesterday: 118.1 Previous High: 115.2
Zack Gelof, Yesterday: 109.1 Previous High: 108.5
Hardest Hit Balls
William Contreras (MIL) - 118.1mph - double
Oneil Cruz (PIT) - 114.4mph - home_run
Ozzie Albies (ATL) - 113.7mph - home_run
Luke Raley (SEA) - 113.3mph - home_run
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) - 111.5mph - nan
Ben Rice (NYY) - 110.8mph - home_run
Freddy Fermin (KC) - 110.7mph - nan
Yandy Diaz (TB) - 110.4mph - single
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) - 110.4mph - single
Nolan Gorman (STL) - 110.3mph - double
Last 3 Weeks - wOBA vs. xwOBA Comparison
Top 10
Julio Rodriguez - 67 PA, 0.187 wOBA, 0.337 xwOBA, 0.15 Diff
Tyler Soderstrom - 68 PA, 0.276 wOBA, 0.408 xwOBA, 0.132 Diff
Andres Gimenez - 72 PA, 0.249 wOBA, 0.376 xwOBA, 0.127 Diff
D.J. LeMahieu - 62 PA, 0.237 wOBA, 0.361 xwOBA, 0.124 Diff
Marcus Semien - 80 PA, 0.156 wOBA, 0.277 xwOBA, 0.121 Diff
Gio Urshela - 68 PA, 0.148 wOBA, 0.268 xwOBA, 0.12 Diff
Juan Soto - 76 PA, 0.364 wOBA, 0.458 xwOBA, 0.094 Diff
Nick Loftin - 56 PA, 0.223 wOBA, 0.316 xwOBA, 0.093 Diff
Cal Raleigh - 70 PA, 0.286 wOBA, 0.375 xwOBA, 0.089 Diff
Oneil Cruz - 70 PA, 0.328 wOBA, 0.411 xwOBA, 0.083 Diff
Bottom 10
Isiah Kiner-Falefa - 55 PA, 0.452 wOBA, 0.255 xwOBA, -0.197 Diff
Francisco Alvarez - 61 PA, 0.509 wOBA, 0.366 xwOBA, -0.143 Diff
Joc Pederson - 56 PA, 0.404 wOBA, 0.291 xwOBA, -0.113 Diff
Cedric Mullins II - 60 PA, 0.401 wOBA, 0.296 xwOBA, -0.105 Diff
Brandon Nimmo - 76 PA, 0.48 wOBA, 0.38 xwOBA, -0.1 Diff
Manny Machado - 80 PA, 0.429 wOBA, 0.338 xwOBA, -0.091 Diff
Ian Happ - 75 PA, 0.482 wOBA, 0.392 xwOBA, -0.09 Diff
Geraldo Perdomo - 59 PA, 0.272 wOBA, 0.183 xwOBA, -0.089 Diff
Josh Smith - 65 PA, 0.394 wOBA, 0.312 xwOBA, -0.082 Diff
C.J. Abrams - 76 PA, 0.483 wOBA, 0.404 xwOBA, -0.079 Diff
Last 3 Weeks - Brl% Leaders
Aaron Judge - 69 PA, 43 BIP, 12 Brls, 27.9 Brl%
Shohei Ohtani - 83 PA, 47 BIP, 12 Brls, 25.5 Brl%
Austin Riley - 76 PA, 50 BIP, 12 Brls, 24.0 Brl%
Mark Vientos - 68 PA, 43 BIP, 10 Brls, 23.3 Brl%
Jesus Sanchez - 66 PA, 43 BIP, 9 Brls, 20.9 Brl%
Michael Toglia - 77 PA, 48 BIP, 10 Brls, 20.8 Brl%
Christian Walker - 78 PA, 61 BIP, 12 Brls, 19.7 Brl%
Bryce Harper - 51 PA, 42 BIP, 8 Brls, 19.0 Brl%
Tyrone Taylor - 51 PA, 37 BIP, 7 Brls, 18.9 Brl%
Cal Raleigh - 70 PA, 37 BIP, 7 Brls, 18.9 Brl%
Last 3 Weeks - xwOBA Leaders
Shohei Ohtani - 83 PA, 0.499 xwOBA
Jose Miranda - 73 PA, 0.483 xwOBA
Austin Riley - 76 PA, 0.47 xwOBA
Ben Rice - 60 PA, 0.463 xwOBA
Juan Soto - 76 PA, 0.458 xwOBA
Yordan Alvarez - 67 PA, 0.457 xwOBA
Bryce Harper - 51 PA, 0.454 xwOBA
Byron Buxton - 63 PA, 0.443 xwOBA
Justin Turner - 55 PA, 0.437 xwOBA
Aaron Judge - 69 PA, 0.434 xwOBA
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